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Qual 232018 Arizona North Regional
Red173
498142.2
1828100.9
6585121.6
Blue352
2122176.9
1165117.3
7059129.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239325100200300400500173352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#33
142.25.3
119.9→125.2
Auto16.7
Teleop107.4
End17.5
blue by 34.7
2122
#2
176.97.0
146.9→153.9
Auto24.1
Teleop131.7
End19.2
Second
6585
#32
121.611.6
85.6→97.1
Auto15.4
Teleop97.1
End10.0
blue by 7.5
7059
#27
129.18.4
90.0→98.4
Auto17.0
Teleop97.9
End15.1
Third
1828
#54
100.93.1
94.9→98.0
Auto13.8
Teleop83.8
End4.8
blue by 16.5
1165
#45
117.35.0
101.7→106.7
Auto15.8
Teleop90.6
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed