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Red248
2073138.8
2375120.5
2486155.4
Blue184
4603137.6
991125.8
668130.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3322480100200300400500600248184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.410.7
126.2136.9
Auto24.8
Teleop116.2
End14.7
red by 17.8
4603
#13
137.69.6
105.4115.0
Auto15.9
Teleop107.3
End11.4
Second
2073
#31
138.85.7
115.9121.5
Auto17.5
Teleop114.4
End6.9
red by 8.3
668
#17
130.56.2
109.7115.9
Auto21.1
Teleop102.7
End5.7
Third
2375
#21
120.58.3
108.9117.2
Auto15.8
Teleop91.7
End15.3
blue by 5.3
991
#35
125.85.8
103.1108.9
Auto16.8
Teleop98.5
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed