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Qual 262018 Arizona North Regional
Red418
6518128.1
842174.5
4415133.4
Blue219
2478144.1
6127104.1
60143.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3292210100300400500600418219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#4
174.59.4
115.8→125.3
Auto25.2
Teleop125.4
End24.4
red by 30.3
2478
#6
144.14.1
112.9→117.0
Auto18.7
Teleop106.5
End20.2
Second
4415
#28
133.48.9
107.3→116.2
Auto19.2
Teleop100.1
End13.7
blue by 9.7
60
#30
143.04.7
117.5→122.2
Auto20.6
Teleop111.7
End10.9
Third
6518
#23
128.17.7
98.1→105.8
Auto18.8
Teleop96.7
End13.2
red by 24.0
6127
#53
104.13.0
85.8→88.8
Auto13.5
Teleop85.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed