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Red364
2403134.3
3501139.9
3019136.9
Blue221
1165117.3
3187110.1
6871116.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287267100150200250350400450364221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#15
139.95.8
104.4110.2
Auto16.1
Teleop109.7
End15.3
red by 22.6
1165
#45
117.34.9
106.7111.6
Auto15.8
Teleop90.6
End11.1
Second
3019
#34
136.94.7
113.2117.9
Auto15.1
Teleop105.4
End16.2
red by 19.9
6871
#10
116.97.4
96.7104.1
Auto16.3
Teleop85.1
End16.8
Third
2403
#29
134.32.7
122.3125.0
Auto17.6
Teleop103.8
End12.6
red by 24.3
3187
#39
110.15.8
105.3111.1
Auto13.4
Teleop85.4
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed