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Qual 352018 Arizona North Regional
Red108
2437101.6
668130.5
4415133.4
Blue371
254213.8
3853133.6
5539111.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256334100200300400500600108371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#28
133.48.6
116.2→124.8
Auto19.2
Teleop100.1
End13.7
blue by 80.4
254
#1
213.85.6
172.2→177.8
Auto26.4
Teleop148.6
End41.8
Second
668
#17
130.53.0
115.9→118.9
Auto21.1
Teleop102.7
End5.7
blue by 3.1
3853
#11
133.66.0
102.0→107.9
Auto17.1
Teleop94.6
End26.8
Third
2437
#46
101.64.8
94.0→98.8
Auto15.4
Teleop78.3
End9.9
blue by 9.9
5539
#50
111.56.4
98.4→104.9
Auto15.3
Teleop79.3
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsEarned