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Red390
2122176.9
2840112.7
60143.0
Blue109
2375120.5
58596.0
2437101.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3731870100300400500600390109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.95.6
160.3165.8
Auto24.1
Teleop131.7
End19.2
red by 56.4
2375
#21
120.50.9
121.2122.1
Auto15.8
Teleop91.7
End15.3
Second
60
#30
143.04.8
126.4131.1
Auto20.6
Teleop111.7
End10.9
red by 41.5
2437
#46
101.61.1
98.899.9
Auto15.4
Teleop78.3
End9.9
Third
2840
#22
112.74.0
101.5105.5
Auto14.4
Teleop86.6
End12.7
red by 16.7
585
#55
96.02.5
99.9102.4
Auto12.8
Teleop81.6
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed