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Qual 432018 Arizona North Regional
Red204
2486155.4
6530134.9
3019136.9
Blue458
2478144.1
6656109.2
254213.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315310200250350400450204458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#3
155.45.0
142.5→147.5
Auto24.8
Teleop116.2
End14.7
blue by 58.3
254
#1
213.86.2
177.8→184.0
Auto26.4
Teleop148.6
End41.8
Second
3019
#34
136.95.5
117.9→123.4
Auto15.1
Teleop105.4
End16.2
blue by 7.3
2478
#6
144.13.8
120.7→124.5
Auto18.7
Teleop106.5
End20.2
Third
6530
#47
134.91.3
132.8→134.2
Auto16.3
Teleop98.8
End20.2
red by 25.7
6656
#51
109.24.6
95.1→99.7
Auto13.6
Teleop85.7
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsEarned