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Red253
2403134.3
1138114.6
1165117.3
Blue382
3853133.6
4565148.2
6931101.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285270150200250300350400253382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#29
134.34.0
125.0129.0
Auto17.6
Teleop103.8
End12.6
blue by 13.8
4565
#18
148.22.1
123.7125.8
Auto18.1
Teleop109.2
End25.1
Second
1165
#45
117.32.6
111.6114.2
Auto15.8
Teleop90.6
End11.1
blue by 16.3
3853
#11
133.66.4
107.9114.3
Auto17.1
Teleop94.6
End26.8
Third
1138
#48
114.60.9
111.6112.6
Auto15.5
Teleop88.3
End14.7
red by 12.8
6931
#56
101.80.8
91.392.1
Auto12.0
Teleop78.6
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed