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Red152
3785116.6
3187110.1
6413119.8
Blue407
7059129.1
987162.4
6968121.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2763190100200400500600152407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6413
#60
119.82.2
125.6127.8
Auto16.4
Teleop84.7
End18.5
blue by 42.6
987
#12
162.42.2
154.0151.8
Auto23.8
Teleop114.2
End26.8
Second
3785
#57
116.62.7
114.2116.9
Auto16.2
Teleop81.4
End18.5
blue by 12.5
7059
#27
129.17.5
105.6113.1
Auto17.0
Teleop97.9
End15.1
Third
3187
#39
110.13.2
111.1114.3
Auto13.4
Teleop85.4
End13.0
blue by 11.2
6968
#19
121.24.8
99.5104.3
Auto15.3
Teleop93.0
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed