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Red408
1836155.2
4415133.4
6560131.1
Blue134
6871116.9
2135128.1
6314135.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307299150200250350400450408134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.26.4
127.3133.7
Auto24.8
Teleop108.5
End20.4
red by 19.5
6314
#20
135.83.8
136.2140.0
Auto16.8
Teleop104.0
End16.5
Second
4415
#28
133.43.4
124.8128.2
Auto19.2
Teleop100.1
End13.7
red by 5.3
2135
#42
128.13.1
127.2130.3
Auto17.1
Teleop94.9
End20.6
Third
6560
#24
131.10.3
121.3121.6
Auto17.3
Teleop103.0
End10.0
red by 14.2
6871
#10
116.94.3
104.1108.4
Auto16.3
Teleop85.1
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed