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Qual 562018 Arizona North Regional
Red317
1165117.3
6314135.8
60143.0
Blue221
6060129.3
7214109.7
991125.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326262100200300400500317221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
#30
143.04.2
131.1→135.3
Auto20.6
Teleop111.7
End10.9
red by 13.7
6060
#25
129.34.9
122.7→127.6
Auto15.7
Teleop93.3
End18.2
Second
6314
#20
135.80.7
140.0→139.3
Auto16.8
Teleop104.0
End16.5
red by 10.0
991
#35
125.82.2
114.3→116.5
Auto16.8
Teleop98.5
End11.1
Third
1165
#45
117.31.4
114.2→115.7
Auto15.8
Teleop90.6
End11.1
red by 7.7
7214
#43
109.71.7
105.8→107.5
Auto14.3
Teleop82.0
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed