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Red389
996115.6
6560131.1
254213.8
Blue247
3501139.9
3785116.6
3009128.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396231100200300500600389247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
213.87.3
184.0191.4
Auto26.4
Teleop148.6
End41.8
red by 73.8
3501
#15
139.96.3
116.2122.5
Auto16.1
Teleop109.7
End15.3
Second
6560
#24
131.13.6
121.6125.2
Auto17.3
Teleop103.0
End10.0
red by 2.2
3009
#58
128.93.4
121.3124.7
Auto13.5
Teleop102.0
End12.5
Third
996
#44
115.61.4
115.1116.6
Auto15.7
Teleop89.9
End9.2
blue by 1.0
3785
#57
116.60.6
116.9117.5
Auto16.2
Teleop81.4
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed