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Red110
3925118.1
1165117.3
4183149.1
Blue478
254213.8
1836155.2
2375120.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252406100200300500600110478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.13.6
144.0147.6
Auto23.4
Teleop109.3
End15.6
blue by 64.7
254
#1
213.84.9
191.4196.3
Auto26.4
Teleop148.6
End41.8
Second
3925
#36
118.10.7
118.9119.6
Auto17.2
Teleop92.5
End9.1
blue by 37.1
155.25.4
141.4146.7
Auto24.8
Teleop108.5
End20.4
Third
1165
#45
117.31.9
115.7117.5
Auto15.8
Teleop90.6
End11.1
blue by 3.2
2375
#21
120.52.4
120.9118.4
Auto15.8
Teleop91.7
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsEarned