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Red163
987162.4
6931101.8
3009128.9
Blue363
2478144.1
2486155.4
6060129.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267375100200300500600163363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#12
162.42.5
153.6156.1
Auto23.8
Teleop114.2
End26.8
red by 7.0
155.43.7
149.2153.0
Auto24.8
Teleop116.2
End14.7
Second
3009
#58
128.92.7
124.7127.4
Auto13.5
Teleop102.0
End12.5
blue by 15.2
144.16.2
130.0136.2
Auto18.7
Teleop106.5
End20.2
Third
6931
#56
101.83.6
94.798.2
Auto12.0
Teleop78.6
End14.7
blue by 27.5
6060
#25
129.33.0
127.6130.6
Auto15.7
Teleop93.3
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed