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Qual 642018 Arizona North Regional
Red362
2840112.7
2403134.3
498142.2
Blue169
6656109.2
996115.6
2135128.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222710100200400500600362169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#33
142.24.1
131.9→136.0
Auto16.7
Teleop107.4
End17.5
red by 14.2
2135
#42
128.10.3
129.3→129.0
Auto17.1
Teleop94.9
End20.6
Second
2403
#29
134.30.1
131.4→131.5
Auto17.6
Teleop103.8
End12.6
red by 18.8
996
#44
115.60.8
116.6→117.4
Auto15.7
Teleop89.9
End9.2
Third
2840
#22
112.70.4
109.1→109.4
Auto14.4
Teleop86.6
End12.7
red by 3.5
6656
#51
109.24.0
105.6→109.7
Auto13.6
Teleop85.7
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed