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Red261
1011171.2
6127104.1
58596.0
Blue293
2637135.0
6560131.1
3853133.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255320100200400500261293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.27.1
151.7158.8
Auto26.5
Teleop128.5
End12.6
red by 36.2
2637
#16
135.04.4
125.6130.0
Auto18.7
Teleop103.9
End13.4
Second
6127
#53
104.12.9
97.3100.2
Auto13.5
Teleop85.1
End5.7
blue by 29.6
3853
#11
133.65.0
120.8125.8
Auto17.1
Teleop94.6
End26.8
Third
585
#55
96.03.4
102.398.9
Auto12.8
Teleop81.6
End-1.3
blue by 35.1
6560
#24
131.12.4
125.2127.6
Auto17.3
Teleop103.0
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed