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Red233
3019136.9
2637135.0
6314135.8
Blue421
1828100.9
3501139.9
3309140.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336251100200300400500233421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3019
#34
136.95.4
128.9134.3
Auto15.1
Teleop105.4
End16.2
blue by 3.6
3309
#26
140.52.8
130.5133.3
Auto19.5
Teleop102.9
End21.3
Second
6314
#20
135.82.0
139.9137.9
Auto16.8
Teleop104.0
End16.5
blue by 4.2
3501
#15
139.94.6
127.1131.7
Auto16.1
Teleop109.7
End15.3
Third
2637
#16
135.03.7
130.0133.7
Auto18.7
Teleop103.9
End13.4
red by 34.1
1828
#54
100.91.4
100.499.0
Auto13.8
Teleop83.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed