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Red373
4183149.1
1011171.2
7059129.1
Blue110
6656109.2
4415133.4
6060129.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373263100200300400500600373110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.25.0
158.8163.8
Auto26.5
Teleop128.5
End12.6
red by 37.8
4415
#28
133.41.6
134.3135.9
Auto19.2
Teleop100.1
End13.7
Second
149.10.2
147.6147.4
Auto23.4
Teleop109.3
End15.6
red by 19.8
6060
#25
129.30.8
130.6131.4
Auto15.7
Teleop93.3
End18.2
Third
7059
#27
129.11.9
125.2127.2
Auto17.0
Teleop97.9
End15.1
red by 19.8
6656
#51
109.21.5
109.7111.2
Auto13.6
Teleop85.7
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed