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Red256
842174.5
3250135.8
6871116.9
Blue386
254213.8
3577114.9
6931101.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317318200250300350400450256386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#4
174.57.8
157.8165.6
Auto25.2
Teleop125.4
End24.4
blue by 39.3
254
#1
213.85.6
196.3201.8
Auto26.4
Teleop148.6
End41.8
Second
3250
#37
135.82.3
139.8137.5
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End12.6
red by 20.9
3577
#38
114.90.4
113.1113.5
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End14.0
Third
6871
#10
116.93.3
110.6113.9
Auto16.3
Teleop85.1
End16.8
red by 15.1
6931
#56
101.81.5
98.299.7
Auto12.0
Teleop78.6
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsEarned