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Red435
2135128.1
2122176.9
6968121.2
Blue262
3009128.9
1165117.3
4603137.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360269100200300400500600435262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.90.7
173.6174.3
Auto24.1
Teleop131.7
End19.2
red by 39.3
4603
#13
137.61.8
135.7137.5
Auto15.9
Teleop107.3
End11.4
Second
2135
#42
128.10.3
127.7128.1
Auto17.1
Teleop94.9
End20.6
blue by 0.8
3009
#58
128.90.6
128.3128.9
Auto13.5
Teleop102.0
End12.5
Third
6968
#19
121.20.9
120.3121.2
Auto15.3
Teleop93.0
End17.4
red by 3.9
1165
#45
117.31.0
116.3117.3
Auto15.8
Teleop90.6
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed