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Semifinal 1-22018 Arizona North Regional
Red411
842174.5
254213.8
2403134.3
Blue290
4565148.2
2478144.1
4415133.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437245100200300400500600700411290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
213.81.2
210.4→211.6
Auto26.4
Teleop148.6
End41.8
red by 65.6
4565
#18
148.21.0
147.2→148.2
Auto18.1
Teleop109.2
End25.1
Second
842
#4
174.50.8
172.3→173.0
Auto25.2
Teleop125.4
End24.4
red by 30.3
2478
#6
144.10.4
143.7→144.1
Auto18.7
Teleop106.5
End20.2
Third
2403
#29
134.30.3
133.5→133.8
Auto17.6
Teleop103.8
End12.6
red by 1.0
4415
#28
133.40.3
133.7→133.4
Auto19.2
Teleop100.1
End13.7