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Red446
4565148.2
2478144.1
4415133.4
Blue260
1492147.1
4183149.1
6413119.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364295100200400500600446260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4565
#18
148.21.4
142.9144.3
Auto18.1
Teleop109.2
End25.1
blue by 0.9
149.10.6
148.0148.6
Auto23.4
Teleop109.3
End15.6
Second
144.10.7
141.5142.1
Auto18.7
Teleop106.5
End20.2
blue by 2.9
1492
#14
147.10.5
146.3146.8
Auto17.4
Teleop113.6
End14.8
Third
4415
#28
133.40.3
134.2133.9
Auto19.2
Teleop100.1
End13.7
red by 13.6
6413
#60
119.80.6
120.9120.4
Auto16.4
Teleop84.7
End18.5