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Semifinal 2-12018 Arizona North Regional
Red342
1011171.2
2122176.9
4603137.6
Blue272
987162.4
2486155.4
5059121.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378294100200500600342272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#2
176.90.4
176.8→177.1
Auto24.1
Teleop131.7
End19.2
red by 14.5
987
#12
162.40.8
160.4→161.2
Auto23.8
Teleop114.2
End26.8
Second
1011
#5
171.20.5
170.5→171.0
Auto26.5
Teleop128.5
End12.6
red by 15.7
2486
#3
155.40.2
155.2→155.4
Auto24.8
Teleop116.2
End14.7
Third
4603
#13
137.60.3
137.9→138.2
Auto15.9
Teleop107.3
End11.4
red by 16.6
5059
#40
121.00.7
119.4→120.1
Auto16.3
Teleop92.4
End13.8