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Red444
2478165.0
2403172.1
2840120.8
Blue302
3853154.4
4146157.7
3019126.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360332200250300400450500550444302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.10.8
170.5171.3
Auto23.4
Teleop127.4
End25.8
red by 14.4
157.70.8
156.2157.0
Auto21.4
Teleop115.2
End23.5
Second
165.00.6
163.7164.3
Auto21.5
Teleop120.0
End26.4
red by 10.5
154.40.6
153.3153.9
Auto17.6
Teleop114.1
End21.7
Third
2840
#19
120.80.2
120.5120.6
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End11.4
blue by 5.9
3019
#35
126.80.1
126.6126.7
Auto16.0
Teleop98.4
End11.6