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Red400
2478165.0
2403172.1
2840120.8
Blue142
3853154.4
4146157.7
3019126.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366328200300400500600400142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.10.8
171.3172.1
Auto23.4
Teleop127.4
End25.8
red by 14.4
157.70.7
157.0157.7
Auto21.4
Teleop115.2
End23.5
Second
165.00.6
164.3165.0
Auto21.5
Teleop120.0
End26.4
red by 10.5
154.40.5
153.9154.4
Auto17.6
Teleop114.1
End21.7
Third
2840
#19
120.80.2
120.6120.8
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End11.4
blue by 5.9
3019
#35
126.80.1
126.7126.8
Auto16.0
Teleop98.4
End11.6