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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Arizona West Regional
Red417
6352156.5
1492160.8
6833147.9
Blue315
6479151.2
991147.2
2375118.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384286100200500600417315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1492
#4
160.80.7
157.6→158.3
Auto19.3
Teleop121.4
End19.8
red by 9.6
6479
#12
151.20.2
151.6→151.4
Auto18.7
Teleop112.0
End18.4
Second
6352
#7
156.50.5
153.9→154.4
Auto19.6
Teleop119.9
End15.1
red by 9.3
991
#9
147.20.3
146.7→147.0
Auto17.2
Teleop115.5
End15.5
Third
6833
#34
147.90.1
148.1→148.0
Auto15.8
Teleop106.4
End23.6
red by 29.3
2375
#24
118.60.4
117.9→118.3
Auto15.5
Teleop89.9
End13.5