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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Arizona West Regional
Red302
3853154.4
4146157.7
3019126.8
Blue188
4565163.4
6413109.0
2647121.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389270100200300500600700302188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#3
157.70.8
153.2→154.0
Auto21.4
Teleop115.2
End23.5
blue by 5.7
4565
#16
163.40.1
163.5→163.4
Auto21.1
Teleop115.2
End26.6
Second
3853
#6
154.40.6
151.2→151.7
Auto17.6
Teleop114.1
End21.7
red by 32.9
2647
#14
121.50.1
121.4→121.5
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End7.7
Third
3019
#35
126.80.1
126.9→126.8
Auto16.0
Teleop98.4
End11.6
red by 17.8
6413
#10
109.00.2
108.8→109.0
Auto15.8
Teleop76.7
End16.1