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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Arizona West Regional
Red414
3853154.4
4146157.7
3019126.8
Blue176
4565163.4
6413109.0
2647121.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385276100200500600700414176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#3
157.70.8
152.3→153.2
Auto21.4
Teleop115.2
End23.5
blue by 5.7
4565
#16
163.40.0
163.5→163.5
Auto21.1
Teleop115.2
End26.6
Second
3853
#6
154.40.6
150.6→151.2
Auto17.6
Teleop114.1
End21.7
red by 32.9
2647
#14
121.50.1
121.3→121.4
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End7.7
Third
3019
#35
126.80.1
127.1→126.9
Auto16.0
Teleop98.4
End11.6
red by 17.8
6413
#10
109.00.3
108.5→108.8
Auto15.8
Teleop76.7
End16.1