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Red367
3853154.4
4146157.7
3019126.8
Blue247
6352156.5
1492160.8
6833147.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327370100200500600700367247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.70.7
155.5156.2
Auto21.4
Teleop115.2
End23.5
blue by 3.1
160.80.5
160.3160.8
Auto19.3
Teleop121.4
End19.8
Second
154.40.5
152.8153.3
Auto17.6
Teleop114.1
End21.7
blue by 2.0
156.50.4
156.1156.5
Auto19.6
Teleop119.9
End15.1
Third
3019
#35
126.80.0
126.7126.6
Auto16.0
Teleop98.4
End11.6
blue by 21.1
6833
#34
147.90.1
148.0147.9
Auto15.8
Teleop106.4
End23.6