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Red255
7214125.6
1726157.7
3944105.6
Blue312
498148.5
2449136.9
6314126.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325304200250350400450500255312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.71.0
156.7157.7
Auto17.4
Teleop119.3
End24.0
red by 9.2
498
#28
148.50.3
149.5149.2
Auto17.5
Teleop113.4
End12.4
Second
7214
#30
125.60.3
125.3125.6
Auto16.9
Teleop93.9
End13.5
blue by 11.3
136.90.1
136.9136.9
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End18.4
Third
3944
#40
105.60.1
105.7105.6
Auto13.3
Teleop75.0
End17.3
blue by 21.0
6314
#26
126.60.2
127.4127.2
Auto16.6
Teleop101.1
End5.2