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Qual 182018 Arizona West Regional
Red170
498148.5
637288.5
1212116.2
Blue313
2647121.5
991147.2
1290111.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287257100200400500600170313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#28
148.51.1
142.5→143.6
Auto17.5
Teleop113.4
End12.4
red by 1.3
991
#9
147.22.3
131.3→133.7
Auto17.2
Teleop115.5
End15.5
Second
1212
#13
116.25.9
99.3→105.2
Auto13.8
Teleop93.6
End9.5
blue by 5.3
2647
#14
121.50.8
114.5→113.6
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End7.7
Third
6372
#42
88.54.5
100.4→104.9
Auto12.3
Teleop72.4
End3.8
blue by 23.3
1290
#37
111.84.1
92.6→96.8
Auto13.2
Teleop87.8
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed