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Qual 192018 Arizona West Regional
Red424
2478165.0
3187111.8
5613123.9
Blue187
6922111.0
5465102.1
2662127.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2922530100200400500600700424187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#2
165.00.9
145.7→146.6
Auto21.5
Teleop120.0
End26.4
red by 37.4
2662
#15
127.57.6
99.3→107.0
Auto17.0
Teleop102.6
End6.7
Second
5613
#11
123.91.4
126.9→125.5
Auto19.4
Teleop90.2
End12.4
red by 12.8
6922
#22
111.07.1
89.7→96.7
Auto14.4
Teleop87.5
End9.9
Third
3187
#17
111.81.0
108.5→107.5
Auto14.8
Teleop80.8
End17.3
red by 9.7
5465
#33
102.13.4
104.8→108.2
Auto14.8
Teleop82.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed