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Red74
313394.5
4565163.4
668399.1
Blue402
7214125.6
4496117.9
6479151.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294249010020040050060070074402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4565
#16
163.42.2
153.2155.4
Auto21.1
Teleop115.2
End26.6
red by 12.2
6479
#12
151.29.1
104.1113.1
Auto18.7
Teleop112.0
End18.4
Second
6683
#25
99.14.0
82.987.0
Auto12.8
Teleop74.2
End13.8
blue by 26.5
7214
#30
125.60.9
113.6114.5
Auto16.9
Teleop93.9
End13.5
Third
3133
#36
94.52.0
89.991.9
Auto12.2
Teleop70.4
End13.9
blue by 23.4
4496
#21
117.92.5
98.3100.9
Auto17.3
Teleop89.7
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed