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Qual 212018 Arizona West Regional
Red417
6871122.9
4146157.7
2403172.1
Blue86
2840120.8
3944105.6
1165114.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324257010020040050060041786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#1
172.11.7
137.0→138.6
Auto23.4
Teleop127.4
End25.8
red by 51.3
2840
#19
120.80.0
113.2→113.2
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End11.4
Second
4146
#3
157.70.6
127.4→127.9
Auto21.4
Teleop115.2
End23.5
red by 43.4
1165
#32
114.31.3
118.5→119.7
Auto15.7
Teleop87.2
End11.2
Third
6871
#18
122.90.8
117.7→117.0
Auto16.8
Teleop90.1
End16.2
red by 17.3
3944
#40
105.61.3
111.9→113.1
Auto13.3
Teleop75.0
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed