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Red205
3019126.8
6314126.6
698118.4
Blue439
3853154.4
6413109.0
2647121.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302410100200300400500600205439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3019
#35
126.80.8
135.3134.5
Auto16.0
Teleop98.4
End11.6
blue by 27.7
154.40.7
136.8137.5
Auto17.6
Teleop114.1
End21.7
Second
6314
#26
126.60.2
133.0133.2
Auto16.6
Teleop101.1
End5.2
red by 5.1
2647
#14
121.50.3
113.6113.4
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End7.7
Third
698
#20
118.40.8
124.9124.1
Auto18.2
Teleop86.4
End11.8
red by 9.4
6413
#10
109.02.6
111.5108.9
Auto15.8
Teleop76.7
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed