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Qual 232018 Arizona West Regional
Red211
1633115.3
2375118.6
4565163.4
Blue351
1212116.2
991147.2
2478165.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269325100200300400500211351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4565
#16
163.40.4
155.4→155.8
Auto21.1
Teleop115.2
End26.6
blue by 1.5
2478
#2
165.00.7
146.6→147.3
Auto21.5
Teleop120.0
End26.4
Second
2375
#24
118.61.0
119.4→118.5
Auto15.5
Teleop89.9
End13.5
blue by 28.6
991
#9
147.22.2
133.7→135.8
Auto17.2
Teleop115.5
End15.5
Third
1633
#31
115.34.8
93.4→98.3
Auto13.8
Teleop85.0
End20.1
blue by 0.9
1212
#13
116.23.0
105.2→108.1
Auto13.8
Teleop93.6
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed