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Qual 252018 Arizona West Regional
Red55
313394.5
2844101.5
3187111.8
Blue326
1726157.7
5200104.5
6871122.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147341010020030040050055326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3187
#17
111.80.6
107.5→106.9
Auto14.8
Teleop80.8
End17.3
blue by 46.0
1726
#5
157.70.4
145.5→145.1
Auto17.4
Teleop119.3
End24.0
Second
2844
#41
101.54.4
95.6→100.0
Auto13.8
Teleop76.4
End5.9
blue by 21.5
6871
#18
122.90.7
117.0→117.7
Auto16.8
Teleop90.1
End16.2
Third
3133
#36
94.51.0
91.9→90.9
Auto12.2
Teleop70.4
End13.9
blue by 10.0
5200
#29
104.54.5
92.5→97.0
Auto14.1
Teleop78.6
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed