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Red262
1165114.3
6352156.5
6922111.0
Blue223
1492160.8
2662127.5
4496117.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263308100200400500262223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.58.3
117.5125.7
Auto19.6
Teleop119.9
End15.1
blue by 4.3
160.80.0
148.4148.4
Auto19.3
Teleop121.4
End19.8
Second
1165
#32
114.30.5
119.7119.2
Auto15.7
Teleop87.2
End11.2
blue by 13.2
2662
#15
127.53.9
107.0110.8
Auto17.0
Teleop102.6
End6.7
Third
6922
#22
111.03.5
96.7100.3
Auto14.4
Teleop87.5
End9.9
blue by 6.8
4496
#21
117.94.7
100.9105.6
Auto17.3
Teleop89.7
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed