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Red221
6413109.0
1726157.7
3944105.6
Blue311
668399.1
2647121.5
2478165.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264267220240260280300221311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.70.2
145.2145.0
Auto17.4
Teleop119.3
End24.0
blue by 7.2
165.01.2
148.2149.4
Auto21.5
Teleop120.0
End26.4
Second
6413
#10
109.00.1
107.3107.1
Auto15.8
Teleop76.7
End16.1
blue by 12.5
2647
#14
121.50.2
113.6113.5
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End7.7
Third
3944
#40
105.62.4
106.9104.5
Auto13.3
Teleop75.0
End17.3
red by 6.5
6683
#25
99.10.6
86.085.4
Auto12.8
Teleop74.2
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed