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Red209
7214125.6
3019126.8
498148.5
Blue390
2449136.9
6922111.0
3187111.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3372390100200300400500600209390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#28
148.51.2
145.3146.5
Auto17.5
Teleop113.4
End12.4
red by 11.6
136.93.2
121.8125.1
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End18.4
Second
3019
#35
126.80.8
132.7131.9
Auto16.0
Teleop98.4
End11.6
red by 15.0
3187
#17
111.80.6
106.1105.5
Auto14.8
Teleop80.8
End17.3
Third
7214
#30
125.60.8
117.2117.9
Auto16.9
Teleop93.9
End13.5
red by 14.5
6922
#22
111.00.3
102.6102.9
Auto14.4
Teleop87.5
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed