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Red311
1290111.8
1492160.8
2840120.8
Blue81
701794.2
313394.5
2375118.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330181010030040050031181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.80.9
148.7149.7
Auto19.3
Teleop121.4
End19.8
red by 42.2
2375
#24
118.60.1
117.6117.7
Auto15.5
Teleop89.9
End13.5
Second
2840
#19
120.81.0
113.5114.5
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End11.4
red by 26.3
3133
#36
94.50.1
90.290.3
Auto12.2
Teleop70.4
End13.9
Third
1290
#37
111.83.4
103.9107.2
Auto13.2
Teleop87.8
End9.9
red by 17.7
7017
#38
94.21.9
96.198.0
Auto14.5
Teleop82.3
End-1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed