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Red380
2662127.5
4146157.7
3853154.4
Blue367
6413109.0
6871122.9
4565163.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344289100200400500600380367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.73.3
135.9139.2
Auto21.4
Teleop115.2
End23.5
blue by 5.7
4565
#16
163.41.4
156.4157.8
Auto21.1
Teleop115.2
End26.6
Second
154.40.9
139.8140.8
Auto17.6
Teleop114.1
End21.7
red by 31.5
6871
#18
122.91.2
119.3120.5
Auto16.8
Teleop90.1
End16.2
Third
2662
#15
127.51.3
114.5115.8
Auto17.0
Teleop102.6
End6.7
red by 18.6
6413
#10
109.00.1
107.1107.2
Auto15.8
Teleop76.7
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned