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Qual 472018 Arizona West Regional
Red264
5613123.9
498148.5
991147.2
Blue486
6352156.5
698118.4
2403172.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32330505001,0001,500264486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#28
148.50.3
146.5→146.8
Auto17.5
Teleop113.4
End12.4
blue by 23.6
2403
#1
172.12.9
147.1→150.0
Auto23.4
Teleop127.4
End25.8
Second
991
#9
147.21.8
140.1→141.8
Auto17.2
Teleop115.5
End15.5
blue by 9.3
6352
#7
156.52.7
131.1→133.8
Auto19.6
Teleop119.9
End15.1
Third
5613
#11
123.90.5
124.7→124.2
Auto19.4
Teleop90.2
End12.4
red by 5.5
698
#20
118.41.2
120.9→119.7
Auto18.2
Teleop86.4
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned