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Red120
5200104.5
6748102.0
2449136.9
Blue491
6479151.2
2478165.0
3019126.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343670100200300400500600120491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.95.8
125.1130.9
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End18.4
blue by 28.1
165.01.8
149.4151.2
Auto21.5
Teleop120.0
End26.4
Second
5200
#29
104.52.6
103.8106.5
Auto14.1
Teleop78.6
End10.4
blue by 46.7
6479
#12
151.26.4
137.8144.2
Auto18.7
Teleop112.0
End18.4
Third
6748
#39
102.01.3
109.9111.2
Auto11.7
Teleop83.5
End9.2
blue by 24.8
3019
#35
126.81.2
131.9130.7
Auto16.0
Teleop98.4
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed