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Red93
6413109.0
6314126.6
1212116.2
Blue337
5613123.9
1492160.8
313394.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265310010020040050060070080093337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6314
#26
126.60.1
131.8131.7
Auto16.6
Teleop101.1
End5.2
blue by 34.2
160.81.2
149.7150.9
Auto19.3
Teleop121.4
End19.8
Second
1212
#13
116.22.8
112.8115.6
Auto13.8
Teleop93.6
End9.5
blue by 7.7
5613
#11
123.90.5
124.2123.8
Auto19.4
Teleop90.2
End12.4
Third
6413
#10
109.00.7
107.2107.9
Auto15.8
Teleop76.7
End16.1
red by 14.5
3133
#36
94.50.3
90.390.0
Auto12.2
Teleop70.4
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed