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Red93
6748102.0
6479151.2
4111102.9
Blue369
2647121.5
4146157.7
4496117.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28730710015020025035040045093369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6479
#12
151.25.8
144.2150.1
Auto18.7
Teleop112.0
End18.4
blue by 6.5
157.73.2
139.2142.4
Auto21.4
Teleop115.2
End23.5
Second
4111
#23
102.92.0
105.0107.0
Auto15.3
Teleop80.8
End3.8
blue by 18.6
2647
#14
121.51.4
114.1115.5
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End7.7
Third
6748
#39
102.01.2
111.2109.9
Auto11.7
Teleop83.5
End9.2
blue by 15.9
4496
#21
117.90.8
112.2113.0
Auto17.3
Teleop89.7
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed