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Red276
5465102.1
3019126.8
2403172.1
Blue436
668399.1
6352156.5
2662127.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222540100200400500276436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.13.8
150.0153.8
Auto23.4
Teleop127.4
End25.8
red by 15.6
156.55.4
133.8139.2
Auto19.6
Teleop119.9
End15.1
Second
3019
#35
126.80.3
130.7130.3
Auto16.0
Teleop98.4
End11.6
blue by 0.8
2662
#15
127.52.2
115.8118.0
Auto17.0
Teleop102.6
End6.7
Third
5465
#33
102.10.4
101.2101.6
Auto14.8
Teleop82.3
End4.1
red by 3.0
6683
#25DQ
99.13.4
87.190.5
Auto12.8
Teleop74.2
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed