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Red350
4565163.4
701794.2
2449136.9
Blue195
6922111.0
6871122.9
698118.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335246100200300400500600350195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4565
#16
163.41.8
157.8159.6
Auto21.1
Teleop115.2
End26.6
red by 40.5
6871
#18
122.91.7
120.5122.2
Auto16.8
Teleop90.1
End16.2
Second
136.91.4
130.9132.3
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End18.4
red by 18.5
698
#20
118.40.3
119.7120.0
Auto18.2
Teleop86.4
End11.8
Third
7017
#38
94.20.6
98.098.6
Auto14.5
Teleop82.3
End-1.6
blue by 16.9
6922
#22
111.02.1
106.8108.9
Auto14.4
Teleop87.5
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed