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Qual 602018 Arizona West Regional
Red268
2375118.6
6922111.0
4146157.7
Blue172
2449136.9
991147.2
1633115.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2783290100200400500600268172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#3
157.73.3
142.4→145.7
Auto21.4
Teleop115.2
End23.5
red by 10.5
991
#9
147.21.2
143.1→144.3
Auto17.2
Teleop115.5
End15.5
Second
2375
#24
118.60.4
117.5→117.1
Auto15.5
Teleop89.9
End13.5
blue by 18.3
2449
#8
136.91.9
132.3→134.2
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End18.4
Third
6922
#22
111.00.4
108.9→109.3
Auto14.4
Teleop87.5
End9.9
blue by 4.3
1633
#31
115.33.1
109.1→112.2
Auto13.8
Teleop85.0
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed