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Red346
2403172.1
2647121.5
2840120.8
Blue316
4565163.4
3853154.4
1290111.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2913500100200400500600700346316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.13.0
153.8156.7
Auto23.4
Teleop127.4
End25.8
red by 8.7
4565
#16
163.41.9
159.6161.5
Auto21.1
Teleop115.2
End26.6
Second
2647
#14
121.51.8
115.5117.3
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End7.7
blue by 32.9
154.42.4
142.0144.4
Auto17.6
Teleop114.1
End21.7
Third
2840
#19
120.80.7
115.7116.4
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End11.4
red by 9.0
1290
#37
111.81.3
110.5111.8
Auto13.2
Teleop87.8
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed